NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU PAC
Points 87.1 62.7
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 44.8 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 16.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 15.5
Shooting SCU PAC
Field Goals Made 31.1 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 53.7
Field Goal % 52.4% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 64.2% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 27.9%
Free Throws Made 16.2 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 23.8
Free Throw % 69.6% 65.1%
Ball Control SCU PAC
Rebounds 45.3 24.8
Rebounds - Defensive 31.9 19.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 5.7
Turnovers 10.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.5
Steals 4.4 5.3
Fouls 18.6 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU PAC
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 67.6
% of Possessions with SCU PAC
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 24.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 26.1%
Turnover 14.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU PAC
Shot Blocked 2.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 41.2% 15.1%