NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU PEPP
Points 77.5 69.2
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 17.7
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.3
Shooting SCU PEPP
Field Goals Made 28.3 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 57.3
Field Goal % 49.5% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 21.9
Free Throw % 69.6% 69.8%
Ball Control SCU PEPP
Rebounds 38.5 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.8
Turnovers 11.2 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 1.9
Steals 4.1 4.9
Fouls 17.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Pepperdine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU PEPP
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 70.7
% of Possessions with SCU PEPP
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.2% 24.8%
Turnover 15.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU PEPP
Shot Blocked 3.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 23.7%