NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU AKR
Points 64.8 74.2
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 23.3
Points From Free Throws 10.8 14.7
Shooting WMU AKR
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 57.5
Field Goal % 41.0% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 10.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.1
Free Throw % 61.5% 72.9%
Ball Control WMU AKR
Rebounds 36.3 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 9.6
Turnovers 11.3 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.0
Steals 4.0 5.3
Fouls 16.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU AKR
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 70.0
% of Possessions with WMU AKR
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 23.2%
Turnover 16.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU AKR
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 27.7%