NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID DUQ
Points 62.6 72.7
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 22.5
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.9
Shooting RID DUQ
Field Goals Made 21.7 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 56.2
Field Goal % 39.3% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 21.7
Free Throw % 76.3% 73.4%
Ball Control RID DUQ
Rebounds 34.5 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.1
Turnovers 12.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.0
Steals 5.4 7.7
Fouls 15.7 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID DUQ
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 69.3
% of Possessions with RID DUQ
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 27.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.9%
Turnover 17.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID DUQ
Shot Blocked 9.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 29.2%