NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID COPP
Points 74.0 56.6
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 16.4
Points From Free Throws 16.8 12.9
Shooting RID COPP
Field Goals Made 25.4 19.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 56.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 34.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 36.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 16.8 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 17.8
Free Throw % 76.3% 72.6%
Ball Control RID COPP
Rebounds 42.8 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 20.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.2
Turnovers 12.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.5
Steals 7.5 7.1
Fouls 13.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID COPP
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 66.9
% of Possessions with RID COPP
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 23.0%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.6%
Turnover 18.0% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID COPP
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 38.7% 23.5%