NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID IONA
Points 70.5 70.1
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 24.9
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.0
Shooting RID IONA
Field Goals Made 24.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 60.2
Field Goal % 46.8% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 19.6
Free Throw % 76.3% 66.3%
Ball Control RID IONA
Rebounds 37.8 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.5
Turnovers 13.3 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.3
Steals 4.7 8.3
Fouls 14.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID IONA
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 71.8
% of Possessions with RID IONA
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 29.7%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.2%
Turnover 19.1% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID IONA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 26.7%