NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID SCAR
Points 64.4 76.8
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 24.7
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.6
Shooting RID SCAR
Field Goals Made 23.5 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.5
Field Goal % 40.5% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 44.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 13.9 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 22.2
Free Throw % 76.3% 70.6%
Ball Control RID SCAR
Rebounds 33.3 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 11.3
Turnovers 9.3 7.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.0
Steals 4.4 4.9
Fouls 15.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID SCAR
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 71.5
% of Possessions with RID SCAR
2 Point Attempt 55.9% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 20.1% 22.4%
Turnover 13.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID SCAR
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 31.8%