NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID CAN
Points 69.8 68.2
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 21.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.7
Shooting RID CAN
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 61.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 17.8
Free Throw % 76.3% 59.8%
Ball Control RID CAN
Rebounds 36.4 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.2
Turnovers 9.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.8
Steals 5.4 5.5
Fouls 13.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID CAN
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 72.7
% of Possessions with RID CAN
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 26.7%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.9%
Turnover 14.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID CAN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 33.1%