NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID SYR
Points 68.1 79.5
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 20.7
Points From Free Throws 11.5 18.4
Shooting RID SYR
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 56.6
Field Goal % 42.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.5 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 25.3
Free Throw % 76.3% 72.8%
Ball Control RID SYR
Rebounds 36.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.1
Turnovers 13.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.2
Steals 5.1 9.3
Fouls 16.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID SYR
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 71.6
% of Possessions with RID SYR
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 22.5%
Player Fouled 17.7% 22.3%
Turnover 19.1% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 12.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID SYR
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 24.3%