NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID SPU
Points 64.9 65.4
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 17.8
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.1
Shooting RID SPU
Field Goals Made 21.1 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 55.1
Field Goal % 40.6% 37.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 39.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 25.4
Free Throw % 76.3% 71.2%
Ball Control RID SPU
Rebounds 35.6 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.4
Turnovers 11.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.0
Steals 5.1 6.4
Fouls 16.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID SPU
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 70.6
% of Possessions with RID SPU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 21.1%
Player Fouled 25.7% 24.7%
Turnover 17.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID SPU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 32.4%