NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID NIAG
Points 72.0 70.0
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 18.4
Points From Free Throws 14.7 16.3
Shooting RID NIAG
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 53.7
Field Goal % 47.1% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.0 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 12.2 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.7 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 22.0
Free Throw % 76.3% 74.1%
Ball Control RID NIAG
Rebounds 34.1 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.4
Turnovers 9.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.1
Steals 6.0 5.3
Fouls 16.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Niagara

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID NIAG
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 66.6
% of Possessions with RID NIAG
2 Point Attempt 55.8% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 22.6%
Player Fouled 19.9% 24.1%
Turnover 14.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID NIAG
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 22.5%