NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID MISS
Points 67.1 79.1
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 23.2
Points From Free Throws 14.5 18.0
Shooting RID MISS
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 58.4
Field Goal % 39.2% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 24.6
Free Throw % 76.3% 73.0%
Ball Control RID MISS
Rebounds 36.2 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.2
Turnovers 11.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.1
Steals 5.0 7.8
Fouls 16.0 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Mississippi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID MISS
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 73.5
% of Possessions with RID MISS
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.3% 22.7%
Turnover 16.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID MISS
Shot Blocked 10.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 31.6%