NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID STONE
Points 78.3 63.7
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 25.3
Points From Free Throws 14.6 10.0
Shooting RID STONE
Field Goals Made 27.9 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 58.1
Field Goal % 46.8% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 14.6 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 14.5
Free Throw % 76.3% 69.1%
Ball Control RID STONE
Rebounds 42.1 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.7 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 6.8
Turnovers 10.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.2
Steals 6.4 5.8
Fouls 13.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID STONE
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 66.3
% of Possessions with RID STONE
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 34.4%
Player Fouled 19.7% 18.9%
Turnover 14.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID STONE
Shot Blocked 3.9% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 18.1%