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Belmont at Missouri St
Wed Feb 8, 2023
7:00pm ET
Springfield, MO
Belmont at Missouri St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Missouri St. by 2, Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BEL | adv | MOSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 17-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 10-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 9-9-1 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
Missouri St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | W Virginia | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Fla Gulf Cst | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Abl Christian | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Drake | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Sam Hous St | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulsa | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Lindenwood | -17.5 | W by 22 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | St Marys | +13.5 | W by 5 | +18.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Bradley | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Murray St | -5.0 | L by 24 | -29.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Evansville | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana St | +12.5 | L by 22 | -9.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Drake | +7.0 | W by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Valparaiso | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | S Illinois | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Belmont | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | N Iowa | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Murray St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Bradley | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Belmont | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois St | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Murray St | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 16 | -4.5 |
| MOSU -2.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3352 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Missouri St. won the game 1902 times (56.7%).
- The team like Belmont won the game 1450 times (43.3%).
- The team like Missouri St. did better against the spread, going 1676-1603-73 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3879 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 1910-1899-70 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 07:04 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/08 06:32 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 06:17 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:43 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 11:32 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:04 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 10:53 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/07 10:37 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 09:03 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/07 04:25 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 03:52 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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