NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL MOSU
Points 74.6 72.7
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.2 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.5 12.4
Shooting BEL MOSU
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 62.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 17.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 70.3%
Ball Control BEL MOSU
Rebounds 34.2 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.1
Turnovers 8.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 6.6 4.3
Fouls 13.6 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL MOSU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 73.0
% of Possessions with BEL MOSU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 26.9%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.7%
Turnover 12.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL MOSU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 29.4%