NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA ORST
Points 67.0 63.5
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 18.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.7
Shooting UCLA ORST
Field Goals Made 22.5 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 50.1
Field Goal % 42.4% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 20.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.5%
Ball Control UCLA ORST
Rebounds 34.1 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 7.7
Turnovers 9.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.4
Steals 5.2 4.4
Fouls 18.5 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA ORST
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 62.4
% of Possessions with UCLA ORST
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 25.3%
Player Fouled 26.7% 28.0%
Turnover 14.1% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA ORST
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 24.3%