NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL OHIO
Points 77.1 74.8
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 26.9
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.3
Shooting BEL OHIO
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 61.4
Field Goal % 47.5% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 18.0
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.1%
Ball Control BEL OHIO
Rebounds 36.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.3
Turnovers 12.1 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 5.7 6.5
Fouls 14.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL OHIO
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 72.3
% of Possessions with BEL OHIO
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 32.5%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.7%
Turnover 16.7% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL OHIO
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 24.7%