NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA COLO
Points 66.2 72.5
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 21.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 16.1
Shooting UCLA COLO
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 51.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 12.8 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 21.2
Free Throw % 74.3% 76.0%
Ball Control UCLA COLO
Rebounds 29.4 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.7
Turnovers 8.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.4
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 17.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA COLO
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 64.7
% of Possessions with UCLA COLO
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 23.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 26.2%
Turnover 12.8% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA COLO
Shot Blocked 2.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 29.1%