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Belmont at Samford
Sun Dec 5, 2021
3:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
Belmont at Samford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Belmont by 11.5, Total Points: 158.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BEL | adv | SAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 10-7-0 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| BEL -11.5 | Open | -11.0 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 327 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Belmont won the game 286 times (87.5%).
- The team like Samford won the game 41 times (12.5%).
- The team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 166-158-3 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4321 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 2125-2109-87 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.5 | -12.0 | -11.5 |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/05 02:49 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/05 02:34 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/05 02:04 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 01:52 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:55 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:22 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:46 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:26 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:14 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/05 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 12/05 09:54 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/05 09:43 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:37 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 12/05 09:13 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:17 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:58 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 02:19 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:25 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 12/04 09:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:40 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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