NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA STAN
Points 69.1 68.9
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.5 13.1
Shooting UCLA STAN
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 53.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.5 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 17.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.9%
Ball Control UCLA STAN
Rebounds 34.5 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.0
Turnovers 9.2 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 6.0 4.1
Fouls 16.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA STAN
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 64.0
% of Possessions with UCLA STAN
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 31.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 24.1%
Turnover 13.3% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA STAN
Shot Blocked 3.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 21.8%