NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL EKY
Points 79.5 72.6
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.0
Shooting BEL EKY
Field Goals Made 27.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 64.4
Field Goal % 44.6% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 17.3
Free Throw % 73.1% 69.3%
Ball Control BEL EKY
Rebounds 37.1 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 12.2
Turnovers 8.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.5
Steals 6.6 5.0
Fouls 12.9 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL EKY
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 75.5
% of Possessions with BEL EKY
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.5%
Turnover 12.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL EKY
Shot Blocked 8.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 30.1%