NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL SIUE
Points 82.2 66.5
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 21.2
Points From Free Throws 16.1 11.8
Shooting BEL SIUE
Field Goals Made 27.9 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 62.6
Field Goal % 50.8% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 42.0% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 16.1
Free Throw % 73.1% 73.2%
Ball Control BEL SIUE
Rebounds 36.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 10.8
Turnovers 10.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.7
Steals 6.3 6.0
Fouls 12.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL SIUE
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 72.7
% of Possessions with BEL SIUE
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 28.4%
Player Fouled 22.2% 17.8%
Turnover 14.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL SIUE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 26.5%