NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA ORE
Points 65.4 69.5
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 22.4
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.9
Shooting UCLA ORE
Field Goals Made 22.6 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.5
Field Goal % 41.9% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 20.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.9%
Ball Control UCLA ORE
Rebounds 33.6 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.3
Turnovers 10.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 4.6 5.3
Fouls 17.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA ORE
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 66.8
% of Possessions with UCLA ORE
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 29.1%
Player Fouled 23.6% 26.1%
Turnover 14.9% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA ORE
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 27.4%