NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL MORE
Points 71.6 71.8
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 27.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 10.7
Shooting BEL MORE
Field Goals Made 25.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 59.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.3 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 14.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 73.2%
Ball Control BEL MORE
Rebounds 31.3 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 10.5
Turnovers 9.5 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 6.7 5.6
Fouls 12.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL MORE
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 68.8
% of Possessions with BEL MORE
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 33.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 17.7%
Turnover 13.6% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL MORE
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 29.8%