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UCLA at Notre Dame
Sat Dec 14, 2019
3:00pm ET
South Bend, IN
UCLA at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 6, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCLA | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-2 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-1 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-11-0 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 10-5-2 | 10-6-0 |
UCLA Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -29.5 | W by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lafayette | -25.0 | W by 18 | -7.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | LIU | -35.0 | W by 20 | -15.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Chaminade | -28.0 | W by 28 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | UC Riverside | -18.5 | W by 1 | -17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Villanova | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -17.5 | L by 4 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Maryland | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Stanford | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | California | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Utah | +8.5 | L by 46 | -37.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Washington | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona St | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona | +17.5 | L by 6 | +11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | USC | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Stanford | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | California | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Colorado | +1.5 | W by 4 | +5.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | USC | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Washington | +3.5 | L by 17 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wash State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oregon St | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Niagara | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | W Carolina | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | W Michigan | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Marquette | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Georgetown | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Citadel | -8.5 | L by 20 | -28.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Marist | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Virginia | +9.5 | W by 22 | +31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | NC State | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Duke | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miami | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston Col | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Virginia | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | VA Tech | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Louisville | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Syracuse | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wake Forest | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | GA Tech | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| ND -6.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2631 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 1916 times (72.8%).
- The team like UCLA won the game 715 times (27.2%).
- The team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 1310-1277-44 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3945 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UCLA did better against the spread, going 1940-1928-77 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| Open | -6.0 | -7.5 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/14 02:53 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/14 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/14 11:54 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/14 07:55 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 12:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/14 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/14 12:36 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 08:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
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