NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA ND
Points 63.0 61.3
Total Points   124.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 22.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 25.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.0
Shooting UCLA ND
Field Goals Made 22.3 19.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 51.3
Field Goal % 41.2% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 11.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 26.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 17.6
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.7%
Ball Control UCLA ND
Rebounds 34.4 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.8
Turnovers 8.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.5
Steals 5.3 4.4
Fouls 15.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Notre Dame

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA ND
Total Possessions 64.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 62.0
% of Possessions with UCLA ND
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 35.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 33.2%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.6%
Turnover 13.2% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA ND
Shot Blocked 3.0% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 26.3%