NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL JVST
Points 76.4 65.6
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 14.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 12.9
Shooting BEL JVST
Field Goals Made 26.6 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 58.4
Field Goal % 49.2% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 18.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 68.8%
Ball Control BEL JVST
Rebounds 31.5 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 12.0
Turnovers 11.3 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 6.8 6.6
Fouls 14.0 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL JVST
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 70.7
% of Possessions with BEL JVST
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 19.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.8%
Turnover 15.9% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL JVST
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 31.7%