NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL PEAY
Points 82.7 73.2
Total Points   155.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 22.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 12.7
Shooting BEL PEAY
Field Goals Made 29.1 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 62.2
Field Goal % 52.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 62.8% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.5 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 17.9
Free Throw % 73.1% 70.9%
Ball Control BEL PEAY
Rebounds 35.3 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.4
Turnovers 9.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.5
Steals 4.8 6.4
Fouls 13.6 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL PEAY
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.1
% of Possessions with BEL PEAY
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 27.2%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.0%
Turnover 13.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL PEAY
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 26.9%