NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL EVAN
Points 76.9 68.7
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 12.7 10.9
Shooting BEL EVAN
Field Goals Made 26.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 59.0
Field Goal % 46.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 12.7 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 15.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 69.9%
Ball Control BEL EVAN
Rebounds 35.5 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 7.6
Turnovers 11.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 7.4 6.4
Fouls 13.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL EVAN
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 68.6
% of Possessions with BEL EVAN
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 26.4%
Player Fouled 19.8% 18.9%
Turnover 15.8% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL EVAN
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 21.0%