NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL MURR
Points 76.3 70.8
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 20.5
Points From Free Throws 11.3 11.3
Shooting BEL MURR
Field Goals Made 27.1 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 59.1
Field Goal % 49.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.8% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 11.3 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 16.5
Free Throw % 73.1% 68.9%
Ball Control BEL MURR
Rebounds 32.4 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 9.2
Turnovers 11.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.7
Steals 5.4 6.0
Fouls 12.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL MURR
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 69.2
% of Possessions with BEL MURR
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 26.9%
Player Fouled 20.6% 18.7%
Turnover 16.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL MURR
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 25.9%