NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA UNLV
Points 64.7 65.9
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 19.7
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.2
Shooting UCLA UNLV
Field Goals Made 22.4 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 51.6
Field Goal % 41.2% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.0%
Ball Control UCLA UNLV
Rebounds 34.8 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.8
Turnovers 9.8 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.6
Steals 5.1 4.3
Fouls 16.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA UNLV
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 64.1
% of Possessions with UCLA UNLV
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 25.8%
Player Fouled 23.1% 25.5%
Turnover 15.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA UNLV
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 27.2%