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Belmont at Illinois St
Sun Dec 4, 2022
2:00pm ET
Normal, IL
Belmont at Illinois St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Belmont by 4.5, Total Points: 134.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BEL | adv | ILST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 14-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 7-9-0 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| BEL -4.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1639 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Belmont won the game 1035 times (63.1%).
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 604 times (36.9%).
- The team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 830-781-28 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2956 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 1450-1445-61 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 01:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/04 09:55 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:31 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/04 08:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/03 08:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/03 06:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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