NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA RUTG
Points 78.4 69.1
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 23.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.3
Shooting UCLA RUTG
Field Goals Made 28.7 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 55.9
Field Goal % 47.5% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 71.8%
Ball Control UCLA RUTG
Rebounds 36.9 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.5
Turnovers 9.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 6.4 5.6
Fouls 16.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rutgers

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA RUTG
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.4
% of Possessions with UCLA RUTG
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.6%
Turnover 14.1% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA RUTG
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 29.6%