NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA RUTG
Points 80.4 69.6
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 20.3
Points From Free Throws 14.2 15.8
Shooting UCLA RUTG
Field Goals Made 29.1 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 56.9
Field Goal % 50.1% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 14.2 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 21.4
Free Throw % 75.3% 73.8%
Ball Control UCLA RUTG
Rebounds 35.3 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.9
Turnovers 8.2 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.8
Steals 4.7 4.4
Fouls 15.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Rutgers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA RUTG
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 69.8
% of Possessions with UCLA RUTG
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.9%
Turnover 12.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA RUTG
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 30.2%