NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA UTAH
Points 65.7 71.3
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 28.7
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.6
Shooting UCLA UTAH
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.8
Field Goal % 39.1% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 63.9%
Ball Control UCLA UTAH
Rebounds 35.8 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 9.2
Turnovers 8.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.7
Steals 5.2 4.3
Fouls 16.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA UTAH
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 67.9
% of Possessions with UCLA UTAH
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 33.1%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.1%
Turnover 12.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA UTAH
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 25.9%