NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA UTAH
Points 66.7 71.7
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 29.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 11.4
Shooting UCLA UTAH
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 57.0
Field Goal % 39.8% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 18.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 63.4%
Ball Control UCLA UTAH
Rebounds 36.0 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 9.0
Turnovers 8.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.6
Steals 5.2 4.2
Fouls 16.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA UTAH
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 67.9
% of Possessions with UCLA UTAH
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 33.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.1%
Turnover 11.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA UTAH
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 25.4%