NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU MER
Points 70.9 69.0
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 17.4
Points From Free Throws 16.5 13.1
Shooting ETSU MER
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.5
Field Goal % 41.3% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 16.5 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 19.3
Free Throw % 66.1% 67.9%
Ball Control ETSU MER
Rebounds 40.4 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 10.0
Turnovers 10.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.4
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 14.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU MER
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 68.8
% of Possessions with ETSU MER
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 20.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 20.6%
Turnover 15.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU MER
Shot Blocked 6.1% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 38.5% 28.2%