NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU UAB
Points 69.4 77.5
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 15.8
Points From Free Throws 12.9 22.1
Shooting ETSU UAB
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 54.7
Field Goal % 39.1% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 12.9 22.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 29.7
Free Throw % 66.1% 74.3%
Ball Control ETSU UAB
Rebounds 36.8 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.2
Turnovers 11.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.4
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 18.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU UAB
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 72.0
% of Possessions with ETSU UAB
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 19.2%
Player Fouled 18.4% 26.2%
Turnover 15.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU UAB
Shot Blocked 8.3% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 33.3%