NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO UNCA
Points 64.0 73.9
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.1
Points From Free Throws 12.1 16.1
Shooting CHSO UNCA
Field Goals Made 22.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 57.7
Field Goal % 38.0% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 21.5
Free Throw % 69.7% 75.0%
Ball Control CHSO UNCA
Rebounds 36.8 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 3.6 5.0
Fouls 16.5 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO UNCA
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 70.5
% of Possessions with CHSO UNCA
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 24.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.5%
Turnover 15.3% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO UNCA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.6%