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E Tenn St at Samford
Sat Feb 4, 2023
3:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
E Tenn St at Samford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Samford by 10, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ETSU | adv | SAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | W6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 12-9-0 | 10-7-0 |
E Tenn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | King College | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Elon | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Butler | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Davidson | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Alab A&M | -11.5 | W by 11 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | App State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Jksnville St | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | TN Tech | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Tusculum | -- | W by 62 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Utah St | +18.0 | L by 15 | +3.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | E Carolina | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Mercer | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | W Carolina | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Furman | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Wofford | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Chattanooga | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | VMI | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Samford | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Mercer | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Citadel | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wofford | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Furman | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Chattanooga | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Carolina | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | VMI | -18.5 | W by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Samford | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Citadel | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | VMI | -17.5 | W by 32 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | NC-Grnsboro | +7.0 | W by 11 | +18.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Chattanooga | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Samford | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| SAM -10.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2206 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9 to 11 points. In these games:
- The team like Samford won the game 1852 times (84.0%).
- The team like East Tennessee St. won the game 354 times (16.0%).
- The team like East Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 1086-1076-44 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 304 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like East Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 158-139-7 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -9.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 02:52 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 02:37 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 01:37 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 12:34 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:41 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:11 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 09:44 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/04 09:35 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:08 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:52 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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