NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU SAM
Points 71.6 79.2
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 25.9
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.2
Shooting ETSU SAM
Field Goals Made 23.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 55.7
Field Goal % 40.4% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 25.7
Free Throw % 66.1% 70.7%
Ball Control ETSU SAM
Rebounds 40.0 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 8.9
Turnovers 14.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.6
Steals 7.3 8.2
Fouls 19.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU SAM
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 70.6
% of Possessions with ETSU SAM
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 27.0%
Player Fouled 21.9% 26.0%
Turnover 19.2% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU SAM
Shot Blocked 6.6% 9.8%
Offensive Rebound 39.0% 26.7%