NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO SCST
Points 70.2 72.1
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 13.1
Points From Free Throws 23.5 15.7
Shooting CHSO SCST
Field Goals Made 20.6 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 47.0 59.9
Field Goal % 43.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 45.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 23.5 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 36.1 24.0
Free Throw % 65.0% 65.5%
Ball Control CHSO SCST
Rebounds 38.6 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.5
Turnovers 15.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 4.6 8.0
Fouls 18.0 23.1

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO SCST
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 74.6
% of Possessions with CHSO SCST
2 Point Attempt 32.0% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 16.9%
Player Fouled 30.8% 23.9%
Turnover 20.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO SCST
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 24.5%