NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO SCST
Points 84.9 67.4
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 15.3
Points From Free Throws 16.9 19.9
Shooting CHSO SCST
Field Goals Made 28.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 60.7
Field Goal % 47.0% 34.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 45.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 35.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.9 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 29.3
Free Throw % 63.4% 68.0%
Ball Control CHSO SCST
Rebounds 45.7 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 32.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.9
Turnovers 12.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.5
Steals 5.0 6.7
Fouls 20.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO SCST
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 77.9
% of Possessions with CHSO SCST
2 Point Attempt 31.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 17.0%
Player Fouled 23.2% 26.6%
Turnover 16.5% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO SCST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 26.8%