NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU WCU
Points 67.7 72.3
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 21.5
Points From Free Throws 14.6 13.8
Shooting ETSU WCU
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 59.1
Field Goal % 39.1% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.6 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.8
Free Throw % 66.1% 70.0%
Ball Control ETSU WCU
Rebounds 38.1 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.3
Turnovers 8.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.7
Steals 5.3 3.6
Fouls 15.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: W Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU WCU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 70.6
% of Possessions with ETSU WCU
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 24.7%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.1%
Turnover 11.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU WCU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 28.2%