NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO EKY
Points 64.4 73.2
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 16.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 13.2
Shooting CHSO EKY
Field Goals Made 22.6 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 63.5
Field Goal % 35.7% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.0 45.7
2 Point Shooting % 36.1% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 12.4 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 19.1
Free Throw % 69.7% 69.3%
Ball Control CHSO EKY
Rebounds 39.3 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.1
Turnovers 8.8 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.3
Steals 3.4 4.6
Fouls 13.6 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO EKY
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 75.3
% of Possessions with CHSO EKY
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 54.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 21.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.3%
Turnover 12.5% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO EKY
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 30.6%