NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO JMU
Points 60.2 79.5
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 18.8
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.8
Shooting CHSO JMU
Field Goals Made 20.7 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 61.9
Field Goal % 37.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.2
Free Throw % 69.7% 69.7%
Ball Control CHSO JMU
Rebounds 34.4 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.7
Turnovers 13.0 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.7
Steals 3.1 7.7
Fouls 14.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO JMU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 74.7
% of Possessions with CHSO JMU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.7%
Turnover 18.1% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO JMU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 29.5%