NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO WIN
Points 65.3 73.3
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 16.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 18.5
Shooting CHSO WIN
Field Goals Made 22.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 54.9
Field Goal % 39.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 26.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 69.3%
Ball Control CHSO WIN
Rebounds 36.0 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.7
Turnovers 11.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.2
Steals 3.8 5.0
Fouls 19.1 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO WIN
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 70.8
% of Possessions with CHSO WIN
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.4% 27.2%
Turnover 16.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO WIN
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 27.8%