NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO DAY
Points 56.2 77.3
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 22.1
Points From Free Throws 7.4 14.9
Shooting CHSO DAY
Field Goals Made 21.0 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 55.7
Field Goal % 35.6% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 7.4 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 10.7 20.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 74.7%
Ball Control CHSO DAY
Rebounds 32.0 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.8
Turnovers 10.1 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.2
Steals 3.0 5.2
Fouls 14.9 10.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO DAY
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 67.6
% of Possessions with CHSO DAY
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 27.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 22.2%
Turnover 15.1% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 4.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO DAY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 25.0%