NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU PEAY
Points 75.4 72.4
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 20.2
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.6
Shooting ETSU PEAY
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 57.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 23.4
Free Throw % 66.1% 70.9%
Ball Control ETSU PEAY
Rebounds 41.0 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 9.8
Turnovers 10.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.6
Steals 4.6 6.3
Fouls 16.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU PEAY
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 70.4
% of Possessions with ETSU PEAY
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 24.5%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.7%
Turnover 14.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU PEAY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 40.1% 27.2%