NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU VMI
Points 80.6 63.1
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 16.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.0
Shooting ETSU VMI
Field Goals Made 28.4 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.9 56.8
Field Goal % 43.8% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 18.5
Free Throw % 66.1% 70.4%
Ball Control ETSU VMI
Rebounds 44.6 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 7.8
Turnovers 10.3 15.2
Blocked Shots 5.8 2.2
Steals 9.3 5.1
Fouls 15.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU VMI
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 80.1 67.6
% of Possessions with ETSU VMI
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 22.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.7%
Turnover 13.7% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU VMI
Shot Blocked 4.0% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 37.6% 21.1%