NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU CHAT
Points 71.8 74.4
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 28.5
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.5
Shooting ETSU CHAT
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 55.6
Field Goal % 38.3% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 28.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 20.6
Free Throw % 66.1% 75.3%
Ball Control ETSU CHAT
Rebounds 39.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 8.8
Turnovers 8.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.1
Steals 7.1 5.4
Fouls 15.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU CHAT
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 67.7
% of Possessions with ETSU CHAT
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 33.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.1%
Turnover 12.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU CHAT
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 26.5%