NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO HP
Points 64.9 79.0
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 17.4
Points From Free Throws 13.8 19.5
Shooting CHSO HP
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 59.8
Field Goal % 38.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 13.8 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 25.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 77.9%
Ball Control CHSO HP
Rebounds 32.8 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 12.3
Turnovers 9.0 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 2.8 4.5
Fouls 17.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO HP
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 75.1
% of Possessions with CHSO HP
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 24.3%
Player Fouled 21.0% 24.6%
Turnover 12.8% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 4.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO HP
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 34.2%